Numbers I had heard were that Japanese handset users had handset refresh
rate of 40% , which is very high. Also heard much smaller numbers (tens of
thousands, not hundreds of thousands) than Ren mentions for first crop of
java-enabled handsets in the first month of release, so that users of
java-enabled handsets will not reach significant numbers until spring 2001,
even if they are scrambling for the latest phones. But that was talk about 3
months ago, and maybe things have changed. I think standard KVM supports
some 90 classes, but do not know what the DoCoMo version will look like.
----- Original Message -----
From: Renfield Kuroda <Renfield.Kuroda@msdw.com>
To: <keitai-l@appelsiini.net>
Sent: Monday, July 17, 2000 4:24 PM
Subject: (keitai-l) Re: i-mode vs net
>
>
> jason.c.freedman@ac.com wrote:
>
> > I don't know, I guess. Anyone know how fast the turnover really is in
> > phones?
> >
>
> 6-8 months average churn.
> Also, rate of growth of I-Mode is higher than rate of growth of total
DoCoMo
> subscribers, meaning many current non I-Mode users switch to I-Mode.
>
>
> > My basic point was that there are 7Million iMode users and exactly none
> > currently support Java. So you really have an installed base of 0.
>
> True. But considering I-Mode growth rates and current churn rates, it's
> possible to imagine 250,000 java-enabled I-Mode users 1 month after java
> handsets are released.
>
> r e n
>
>
> --
> ascii: r e n f i e l d
> octal: \162 \145 \156 \146 \151 \145 \154 \144
> hex: \x72 \x65 \x6e \x66 \x69 \x65 \x6c \x64
> morgan stanley dean witter japan
> e-business technologies | engineering and strategy
>
>
>
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>
>
>
Received on Mon Jul 17 11:16:52 2000