Benedict
I agree with your view.
Coverage, Qos, battery life, weigh are all more important
factors in keitai than greater speed.
If we compare WI-FI versus 3G in terms of speed we are
completely out... I really consider this comparison a waste
of time.
Most of the wider coverage WI-FI versions are not compatible
with a real world handset form factor and usage. Most of them
are still experimental and not standardized (Like 4G) and they
are really more vapourware than a solution.
For the market I can agree with Forrester. WI-FI will remain
a business oriented niche product while bluetooth will be
widespread. Anyway 3G, Bluetooth, WI-Fi are wireless
technologies that have been designed for different purposes
and not to compete.
For my experience:
I personally use WI-FI (Apple Airport) in the office to move around
with my laptop, i sync my calendar and contacts with bluetooth
(Apple iSync and Nokia 3650) and I use 3G (3) data connection
to make phone voice calls (Videocalls are more or less useless
today), access the mobile portals and check the e-mail on the move.
So really I am using 3g, WI-FI and bluetooth and a way that gives
me value but they are not competing at all.
Giovanni
Marted=EC, 24 giu 2003, alle 20:21 Europe/Paris, Benedict Evans ha=20
scritto:
>
>
> My view on public WLAN, really, is that:
> *it is compelling for laptop connectivity in fairly confined areas,
> where there is a significant market, but which mobile operators really
> don't care about.
> *It cannot compete with cellular connecting anything smaller than a
> laptop on a wide area basis.
>
> Consider, for a moment - how many applications that can take advantage
> of the greater speed offered by WLAN will fit on a screen that fits in
> your pocket? Streaming video looks just fine at 200K. What does the
> 17-year-old use 1Mbit for? Why will they pay an additional=20
> subscription?
>
>
> I ran through these issues in some depth in a report I wrote just=20
> before
> getting shut down :-(
>
> http://www.ben-evans.com/cv_1/wlanflash.pdf
>
>
>> This is just what they said about PHS, which in terms of take-up for
> data access is currently kicking 3G's butt
>> in Tokyo.
>
> And what's the return on the original investment in PHS? Have any of
> the operators come even close to making their money back? Aren't they
> just milking a written-down asset base?
>
> -Benedict Evans
>
>
>
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Received on Wed Jun 25 03:24:08 2003